The level of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C) has been equated with the rate of development of chronic diabetic vascular complications since the publication of the two classic intervention trials: the Diabetes Control and Complication Trial (DCCT) in patients with type 1 diabetes1 and the United KingdomProspective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) in patients with type 2 diabetes.2 This has been the basis for the standards in guideline recommendations, US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval of therapies for diabetes treatment, and the multitude of publications presuming to compare the benefits of different therapies to each other. If these approaches are truly valid, then several facts would need to be true. This commentary examines what those facts are and whether the clinical data support those facts.
The Rate of Development of Chronic Vascular Complications in Patients with Diabetes Should Be Linearly Related to the Level of HbA1C
If this were true, a decrease in HbA1C of 1 % should give the same absolute rate of reduction of vascular complications independent of the baseline HbA1C value. In fact, the DCCT study showed that risk reduction is curvilinear (see Figure 1), with decreases in microvascular complications being greatest at the highest baseline HbA1C values (11 %) and decreasing progressively as baseline HbA1C values approach 7.0 %.3 The implications of these data are that the greatest clinical benefits are obtained when improving glycemic control in individuals having HbA1C values ≥8.0 % and that lowering HbA1C in patients having baseline HbA1C levels <7.5 % will have modest benefits. Studies showing that one treatment decreases HbA1C 0.2–0.4 % more than another treatment may not be meaningful in terms of absolute decreases in complications when the resultant values are in the HbA1C range <7.5 %. One might argue that the UKPDS data opposes this concept, because decreasing the median HbA1C from 7.9 % to 7.0 % resulted in a 25 % reduction in microvascular complications. However, the UKPDS study did not analyze the data relative to those having baseline HbA1C levels according to the percentiles of baseline HbA1C.2 Based on the DCCT data, it is reasonable to presume that the treatment benefits in the UKPDS occurred primarily in those patients in the higher percentiles of baseline HbA1C elevations.
Identical Decreases in HbA1C from theSame Baseline HbA1C Value in Patients with Diabetes Causes the Same Decrease in Vascular Complications
If this is true, then the decrease in HbA1C itself would be the sole determinant of the benefit of glycemic control. The Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (EDIC) study was a 10-year follow-up of the DCCT cohort after the study completed. At the end of the study (mean 6.5 years) the patients returned to the care of their primary care physicians and returned to the research center once a year for assessment of chronic vascular complications. Within 2 to 3 years, the intensively controlled cohort could not maintain the tight control, and their mean HbA1C increased from 7.3 % to 7.98 %. The ordinary control cohort were able to intensify their glycemic control and improved their mean HbA1C from 9.0 % to 8.07 %. From year 3 on, both cohorts maintained similar mean HbA1C levels. Despite the same glycemic control, the rates of new microvascular and macrovascular complications were 50–80 % less in the previously intensively controlled cohort than in the previously ordinarily controlled cohort.4,5 The EDIC study concludes that the effect of glycemic control on chronic vascular complications in large part depends on previous history of glycemic control.
Three studies performed in the last decade provide insight into the potential cause of the EDIC results. ACCORD,6 ADVANCE,7 and VA-DT were large clinical trials that randomized patients with type 2 diabetes who had had previous cardiovascular events or who were at high risk for cardiovascular events to ordinary glycemic control (HbA1C 7.3–8.4 %) or intensive glycemic control (HbA1C 6.4–6.9 %) and followed them for 3.5–5.6 years for new cardiovascular events. The hypothesis tested was that intensive glycemic control would decrease cardiovascular events. However, the results failed to show any significant decrease in cardiovascular events or any decrease in the progression of clinical microvascular events. The data presented in those three studies suggested that intensive glycemic control had little or no protective effects on the progression of clinically present vascular complications of diabetes.
Low HbA1C Levels Always Decrease Vascular Complications
The presumption that lower HbA1C levels always provide better outcomes than higher HbA1C levels seems to be refuted by several studies. It appears that this depends on the methods by which the lower HbA1C levels are obtained. During the ACCORD study,6 it became apparent that the cohort in the intensive glycemic control group had a higher mortality than the cohort having moderate glycemic control. Many attempts to discern the mechanism for this increase in mortality have failed to provide a definitive answer. A large retrospective analysis of patients having diabetes and congestive heart failure showed that patients having an HbA1C <7.3 % had a higher 2-year mortality than those having an HbA1C ≥7.3 %.8 Many intervention, as well as observational, studies have reported that the occurrence of one or more severe hypoglycemic events during treatment appears to increase future mortality and cardiovascular events.9,10 Recent demonstrations show that serious hypoglycemia (<3.1 mmol/l; 56 mg/dl), regardless of whether recognized clinically, is associated with an increase in ventricular arrhythmias in patients having diabetes and clinical cardiovascular disease.11 Other studies have shown that hypoglycemia significantly increases the corrected QT interval (QTc).12
Conclusions and Recommendations
Obviously, HbA1C is a reliable measure of glycemic control and a useful tool for assessing chronic management. The problem is that glycemic control itself has been assumed to always determine clinical outcomes. Based on the evidence, it is apparent that this is not true. Equally important to clinical outcomes is the stage of vascular disease at the time of the glycemic control, as well as the nature and severity of side effects of the agents being used to control the glycemia. Aggressive lowering of HbA1C to values between 6.5 % and 7.0 % in patients having minimal vascular disease, by means of agents having minimal side effects, is supported by the available data. By contrast, such aggressive lowering with agents that cause hypoglycemia and weight gain and/or that facilitate fluid retention in patients having diabetes and significant cardiovascular disease or risk for cardiovascular disease has a high likelihood of causing detrimental, rather than beneficial, effects.13 In such patients, maintaining glycemic control at a moderate level (7.5 %) using agents that do not cause hypoglycemia or weight gain and that are not detrimental to the cardiovascular system is likely to benefit the patient. What is yet to be determined is whether lowering HbA1C to 7.0 % or lower using agents that have minimal or no metabolic side effects is beneficial to patients having diabetes and significant chronic vascular complications. In evaluating treatment options for glycemiccontrol, it is as important to select therapies by their potential side effects as by their ability to provide a 0.2–0.4 % greater decrease in HbA1C. The greatest clinical benefit of an HbA1C target <7 % is at the onset of diabetes, and the value lessens with increasing duration of poor control. Rational approaches to glycemic control in patients having diabetes are those that improve clinical outcomes and quality of life.